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Power Market Model

An optimisation tool, which enables you to model electricity markets; understand dispatch, fuel use and capacity planning in a country.

Integrating renewables comes with various challenges

Disruptive technologies such as renewable energy (specifically wind and solar) and storage are shaping up future energy transition. To meet the climate change mitigation goals, electricity systems across various parts of the world are undergoing a major overhaul to accommodate these new resources, however, there are inherent challenges that need to be mitigated today for a sustainable and greener tomorrow.

Some of these challenges include grid integration due to intermittency of resources, estimates around electricity generation and potential tariffs along with overall commercial viability that need to be effectively assessed for the benefit of any market participant. Additionally, proper market mechanisms and policy structures are required to justify investment into flexible capacity for RE integration. These challenges require a suitable modelling framework to analyze these aspects from multiple perspectives.

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    Grid-integration is challenging from a system operator as well as planner’s perspective
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    Developers want to know actual amount of electricity that can be sold into the market
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    New RE investors need to assess the commercial viability of their projects before committing
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    Proper market mechanisms and policy structures are required to justify investment
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Overview of a typical power market and its challenges
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Genesis Ray's Power Market Model addresses the need of a robust modeling framework

The Power Market Model uses a rich database of a country’s power infrastructure, nodal RE resource variability, demand pattern, and representation of market operational procedures. It enables the analysis of power dispatch, generation mix, electricity prices, power flow etc. supporting informed decision making by new investors, system planners and market operators.

Features of Genesis Ray's Power Market Model

A single platform that can help to answer diverse questions from stakeholders across the energy value chain – project developers, investors, fuel suppliers, equipment suppliers, system planners and lenders.

Loaded with a rich database of the country’s power infrastructure, nodal RE resource variability, demand pattern, and representation of market procedures
Simulate day-do-day power system and market operations to estimate realistic unit wise power dispatch and nodal electricity prices
Equipped with a series of dedicated scenario generation, model run, visualization and result analysis modules

Questions that the Power Market Model addresses

  • What is the unit wise power dispatch of thermal generators in future RE dominated scenarios?
  • What alternate bidding strategies at various hours of operation will lead to increased utilization and profit for the existing thermal plants?
  • What is the market electricity price at certain locations of the country’s grid?
  • How the prices vary with RE resource variability and how it affects a RE project’s financial forecast?
  • What is the forecasted demand for fossil fuels such as coal and natural gas for power generation?
  • How future uncertainties associated with RE generation can be modelled for judicious decision-making though multiple probable scenarios?
  • What is the power generation mix and RE penetration level nationally as well as at certain location?
  • Should flexible technologies such as storage and gas fired plants be promoted for investment at certain locations helping RE integration?
  • What are the unit wise and total power sector emissions? Whether various national power system transition plans shall help to meet decarbonization targets?
  • Is there sufficient future demand for gas for a country’s power sector to underpin the financing of LNG projects?
  • What is the value of an existing generating asset (based on NPV of future contract and spot revenues over its remaining life)?
  • How would these gas-fired plants run and what impact would the generation profiles have on shipping and storage infrastructure costs?

Power Market Model designed for you

A unique tool useful for diverse participants in the Renewable and Electricity Market, thoroughly validated for robustness by back-casting method with respect to actual historical datasets

Investors and developers

Take informed decisions such as asset valuation; the financial returns assessment of a specific RE project using realistic future electricity price at certain locations.

System planners

Analyze various ‘what-if’ scenarios of future system transition to maintain generation adequacy and system reliability

Fossil-based generators

Formulate alternate market bidding strategies at various hours of operation leading to increased utilisation and profit in an RE-dominated system

Fuel suppliers

Assess the demand for fuel, how these changes over time, the elasticity of demand and the key drivers of competing fuels

Regulator & policymakers

Assess the impact of regulatory or policy changes including the market power of existing participants and identify anticompetitive behavior

Retailers & industrial consumers

Identify contracting opportunities and the risks of various contract structures

The fundamental structure of the model

Genesis Ray’s Power Market Model is an optimisation tool for simulating national power market and system operations. It captures various roles and decision-making process of key power market agents like generating companies, market operators, and demand loads.

At the core of the model is a Security Constrained Unit Commitment and Economic Dispatch (SCUCED) model to optimize day-to-day system and power market operations. Using power generating companies’ offers, demand bids, and expected RE generation it maximizes total economic surplus or alternativity minimize the total operating cost subject to various technical constraints of generating units, transmission lines, and market regulations.

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Broad Outline of Market Modelling and Analysis Framework
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Inputs and Outputs of Genesis Ray's Power Market Model

A cloud hosted flexible platform

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Scenario Generation

A scenario generation and running utility where user can generate multiple scenarios for analysis and can initiate runs at one go

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Bring Your Own Data

Specification of scenarios established by importing user’s own datasets or manually performed through the tool's GUI

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Visualization & Aggregation

A rich data aggregation and visualization module which integrates with the Model and enable user’s need of scenario analysis

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